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MLS Playoffs vs Other Playoffs

Is it too easy to get into the MLS playoffs? At the moment, over half the league makes the post season, so by definition, some pretty average teams will be competing for the MLS Cup. This has led some to suggest that the MLS playoffs should be trimmed to four teams.

But how do the MLS playoffs compare to the other professional leagues? Here's the playoff picture for MLS and the "Big Four":

League Teams In Playoffs Percentage
MLS 15 8 53.33%
NBA 30 16 53.33%
NHL 30 16 53.33%
NFL 32 12 37.50%
MLB 30 8 26.67%

So, yes, at the moment MLS is in that group of extremely forgiving leagues where more teams make the playoffs than not. But that's just for the moment. If the playoff format stays the same, next year MLS will allow 50% of its teams in to the post season and in 2011, only 44.44% of the league will be admitted to the postseason. Don Garber has stated that he expects the league to increase to 20 teams by 2018, and others have speculated that MLS may even rise to 24 teams at some point. If this latter scenario comes to pass and the playoff format doesn't change, MLS would be the second most stringent league in the US, with only MLB allowing a smaller percentage of its teams into the championship round.

So, if MLS is too permissive with the playoffs, that's a temporary condition. And as far as playoffs go, the MLS system is probably the best in assuring that the teams selected are really the top teams in the league. Because half the field are wildcards, it's almost impossible to have a top team excluded from the playoffs. That's not something any other league can say, and it's definitely something MLS should be proud of.

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I appreciate the link back to my original piece, and the legwork you’ve done here to compare the leagues. My objection here would be that soccer differs from football, baseball and basketball in that a team can adopt an entirely different style of play designed specifically to succeed in a two-legged knock-out tie. In other words, it’s much easier for a lower-seeded team, qualified for the playoffs despite a mediocre season, to grind out results. I would argue that league play and cup play are very different forms of competition and that blending them undermines the integrity of the season.

by Zach on Oct 24, 2009 3:38 PM PDT reply actions  

It’s like there’s two seasons. Or a season and a tournament, really. MLS values both the same. The Supporters’ Shield winner gets a CONCACAF Champions’ League spot, and the MLS Cup winner gets a CCL spot. If you don’t like the playoffs, consider the SS winner the champion and ignore the tournament. I don’t think the “integrity” of the season is undermined, since the reward for MLS Cup is no different from the reward for SS. The media builds up the Cup, but you can take whichever as your standard for championness.
By the way, baseball teams play completely differently in the playoffs, most significantly by reducing their starting pitcher rotation from five to three. The World Series doesn’t necessarily reward the most consistent team, just the team with the best one-two punch at the top of their rotation.

by Cornchops on Oct 24, 2009 4:32 PM PDT reply actions  

People can ignore it, but there is an official MLS Champion and that’s the MLS Cup winner. Whatever, it’s a rather tired argument and it’s different structures are a good thing.

As for too many teams being in the play-offs being a “temporary condition”, it’s been a temporary condition for 14 yeas now. That’s a long time.

And in any case, how it will look a few years down the road is not relevent to this year or previous years. Personally, I won’t mind 8 teams when there are 18 teams in the league, though I suspect the league will find a way to increase the number of teams in the post season for that year. I like the idea of needing a better record than at least half the teams in the league to get in the play-offs.

by WendellGee on Oct 25, 2009 2:10 AM PDT reply actions  

Well, frankly the past isn’t really relevant to the discussion. As of the moment, more than 50% of the league makes it into the playoffs, and next year that won’t be true and the year after that, it’ll be an even lower percentage, assuming MLS doesn’t change the playoff format. In my book, a situation that is changing next year is temporary, no matter how long it’s been going on.

Shrinking the playoffs when the league is on the verge of growing to the size that makes the current number of playoff places respectable would be a little perverse. I think MLS would be best served by keeping the playoffs as is as the league grows, and using the natural growth of the league to make the playoffs more stringent.

by CarlosT on Oct 25, 2009 2:00 PM PDT reply actions  

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Sounder at Heart is a blog about the Seattle Sounders FC, with occasional forays into Democracy in Sports, Roster Management, Soccer Statistics and Life in Puget Sound.
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