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Is Modern Football about to die?

Normally when the word "administration" comes up in football, it concerns clubs which languish in League 2, or maybe League 1. In the past there as been occasion of teams in the English Championship that have been threatened, and even a few that have suffered the penalty.

Right now, Southhampton (L-1), Salisbury City (Conf) and Chester City  (Conf) are suffering the effects of Administration.  Not many in America would be that concerned, it would be like the Seattle Wolves folding, but the issue is much grander, and while not limited to England, and the United Kingdom, it is most apparent in the European nation most like our own.

The problems in the UK are significant, and they are plaguing clubs with history in the highest divisions on the Isles. From Scottish Premier Club Rangers, to English Premier Club Portsmouth there are clubs at the highest level of football that have missed payroll, and whose debts are so large that merely getting a massive reinvestment will not be enough.

Star-divide

Portsmouth has starting missing payroll, and as I have covered here in the past, they are on their second billionaire ownership from the Arab World. That hasn't been enough. Last season La Liga clubs in Spain were missing payroll as well, which is the reason that Julian de Guzman now plays in Major League Soccer.

Up north in Scotland it had been thought that the Setanta collapse would not hurt the Old Firm, but now it is apparent that most of the players worth a transfer fee will be out for Rangers.  They can not afford their bills, and the debt collectors are looming.

It has gotten bad enough that Wenger is talking about a reduced transfer market due to the massive debts that the banks of Europe have tied up in football. It is no longer a hypothetical, it is clearly apparent that the business model that fueled the EPL to become the grandest league in the sport is broken.

It is also the same model that most European Leagues use. Use debt to sign or transfer players to the club, and just pray that a rich owner will bail you out later. It doesn't work when those billionaires have been losing billions for several years. It also doesn't work when the banks are teetering on collapse themselves and need the hundreds of millions that football clubs owe them in order for the banks themselves to stay solvent.

"January won't be busy," warned Wenger, "because people don't realise there is no money in football, in Europe, in general. We still live in dreamland in football because if you look at how many clubs are struggling in the Premier League and the Championship in England, it is time for us to get a wake up call and not think the situation will last as it has until now."

Arsene's words of warning will not be enough. It will likely take a handful of collapses. Platini's dreams of debt limitation, salary caps and roster limits may become necessary in order for European football's grandest leagues to survive at the top of the heap.

"What is so terrible about debts is that at some stage you have to pay it back. If it was just an intellectual problem it is not terrible but at some stage somebody will knock at your door and say 'Please, can you pay me back?' And that is what is going to happen in football."

The collectors are knocking, and the potential new owners of EPL sides has grown smaller over the global recession. As MLS and the Players Union discuss the new CBA it is key that they look to Europe and see how wrong things are in the oldest footballing nation in the world.

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As a reference

EPL ownership by recessed industry profile
Property/Real Estate – 8
Investment/Banking/Finance – 4
Leisure/Betting/Travel -2

Chamionship for same
Property/Real Estate – 4
Investment/Banking/Finance – 7
Leisure/Betting/Travel – 1

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Sounder At Heart

by Dave Clark on Dec 20, 2009 9:56 AM PST reply actions  

Interesting

I know Wenger stresses being fiscally responsible at Arsenal and only uses money that doesn’t put a strain on the club’s finances unlike teams such as Man City which need to be funded by deep pockets in order to stay above water. It’s just recently those pockets have become shallower forcing teams to make drastic changes in order to stay away from bankruptcy.

But this isn’t only true for football in Europe, teams in the US have been hit hard. Liverpool owner Tom Hicks recently had to sell the Texas Rangers to avoid defaulting on payments. The Phoenix Coyotes went into bankruptcy and are now owned by the NHL, the WNBA is having a real tough go of it, and I’m sure others are out there. So really it’s a world wide problem. It remains to be seen how the global recession will continue to affect sports teams, but hopefully it’s more behind us than ahead.

by Scrupio on Dec 20, 2009 12:05 PM PST up reply actions  

The difference between MLB-Hicks

and what is going on in the EPL is that Hicks was not allowed to go into hundreds of millions in debt by league mandate.
In the EPL, they can and have done so.

So the US sports system has prevented long term damage during the recession by its more socialistic economic schemes, the UEFA system on the other hand means that the high dependency on major banking will hurt clubs with such debts for some time to come. Banks are failing every day, and their share holders will not find it acceptable for the bank to fail to collect debts of sports franchises just because the President of said bank is a fan or owner of the club.

I am not a Supporter
I am not a Fan
I am a Sounder
Sounder At Heart

by Dave Clark on Dec 20, 2009 12:15 PM PST up reply actions  

Yes, the other owner, Gillett

also had to sell other assets to improve Liverpool’s debt position.

So far, Glazer has avoided having to sell US assets to bolster Man U, but he’s having trouble getting a re-fi, so it’s possible he might have to choose between them and the Buccaneers.

'Gentlemen' he said,
'I don't need your organization,
I've shined your shoes,
moved your mountains and marked your cards,
but Eden is burning.
Either get ready for elimination,
or else your heart must have the courage,
for the changing of the guards.'

by Sgc on Dec 21, 2009 7:08 AM PST up reply actions  

WNBA should fold

Listen I am sure I will get a bunch of people mad but professional womens sports in the US is just a waste of money. I get that ESPN needs something to run on their networks but without them there would be no WNBA. The crowds are small, the merchandise sales are non-existent and the sport is awful to watch. If it were not for the NBA and ESPN pouring money into it, the league would have folded a couple years ago.

I think the biggest point was that while the EPL, La Liga, and other leagues in Europe make tons of money off TV, merchandise and good crowds the economics of not having a salary cap or some level of restrictions on player transfers has lead teams to a point of no return. As MLS begins to see signs of being a viable business in the US we are at a point where the players want guaranteed contracts, larger salary caps, the ability to negotiate with other MLS teams. All of which could easily push MLS to the same point of some of the European teams. While the progress in getting soccer off the fringes of the US sports scene are moving forward, we need to move with caution and smart decisions on both sides of the issues.

by denz on Dec 21, 2009 7:56 AM PST up reply actions  

WNBA eliminated all but 1 asst coach from each team

While yes, EPL etc, make a ton of money off of tv, it still isn’t covering their costs.

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I am not a Fan
I am a Sounder
Sounder At Heart

by Dave Clark on Dec 21, 2009 8:08 AM PST up reply actions  

Costs

They fail to address costs, they continue to sign players they shouldn’t and pay more for them than they should. Have you read soccernomics yet? Very interesting read

by denz on Dec 22, 2009 3:01 PM PST up reply actions  

no

I haven’t even read moneyball, which has been recommended to me by a non-sports fan as an excellent study in management theory.

Both are on the wishlist.

I’ve been stumbling through this on my own.

I am not a Supporter
I am not a Fan
I am a Sounder
Sounder At Heart

by Dave Clark on Dec 22, 2009 3:23 PM PST up reply actions  

Market correction is good for the MLS

If/when teams fold, the player pool is just going to get bigger and salaries will get smaller. Hopefully, this will lead to more Americans staying in MLS.

by Coug1990 on Dec 20, 2009 5:33 PM PST reply actions  

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