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MLS's problems are Seattle's problems

Being a Sounders fan, it's easy to be lulled into the belief that soccer in general, and MLS in particular, are about the hottest thing in American sports.

We see posters all over town. It seems like every other business has a schedule posted in its window. There are many bars in town where you can simply assume soccer will be playing on the big screen. You can actually feel the excitement as the World Cup looms ever closer on the horizon. Oh, and our soccer team regularly draws crowds that MLB teams would salivate over.

So, you could be excused for assuming all is well in the world of Major League Soccer.

Unfortunately, Week 1 attendance paints a slightly different picture.

2010 average MLS attendance (Week 1, eight games): 17,921

2009 average MLS attendance (Week 1, seven games): 17,095

Yes, average MLS attendance was up. But with the Sounders opening up about 4,000 extra seats and the New York Red Bull (24,572) nearly doubling their average attendance of a year ago (12,491), this was almost a foregone conclusion. Looking behind the numbers a little, we find at least two causes for concern.

Star-divide

  • Columbus drew just over 13,500 against their biggest rival (Toronto) in the first game of what many believe could be a championship season.
  • Dallas once again brought up the rear with just over 8,000 despite playing against their in-state rivals (Houston).

These teams have at least two things in common: Soccer specific stadiums and being owned by Hunt Sports Group.

Just a week into the season, you can bet MLS officials are at least a little bit worried. Soccer specific stadiums are planned in San Jose, Houston and Kansas City, but are still at precarious stages of development. Numbers like these could scare off politicians who are probably still less-than-convinced that soccer stadiums are the best use of public resources. (I don't think Portland and Vancouver have the same concerns.)

As has been said many times before, this is about as important a year in MLS's development as any since its inaugural season. The league simply can't afford to have situations like these cast a gray cloud.

I realize the Hunt family is one of the pioneers of American soccer, but something is obviously wrong. (And I'm far from the only person to notice, as Match Fit USA and Daily Soccer Fix, among others have written about FC Dallas' struggles at the gate.) 

Moving either team is not a viable option if MLS ever hopes to get those stadiums built for the Earthquakes, Dynamo and Wizards. You can say the same thing regarding talk of consolidation. 

It would seem this would be the perfect time for MLS to make good on its pledge to phase out dual ownership. With expansion teams fetching prices approaching $50 million, you have to imagine someone out there would be willing to take one of the two teams off the Hunts' hands. 

I know this must seem like a world away for Sounders fans. I can assure you, though, this is certainly our problem as well. If MLS is to ever become a world-class league -- and by extension the Sounders are to become a world-class club -- we can't afford to let situations like this linger.

With labor peace assured for at least five years, new stadiums opening, new clubs getting ready to play and World Cup bringing increased attention to the sport, MLS needs to address problems like this in clear and decisive ways. Figuring out what's wrong with Dallas -- and to a lesser degree Columbus -- should be near top of that list.

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Good Thoughts

Definitely plenty to chew on there. I suspect that the problem is not going to go away over night and it’s unlikely that the league is going to push the Hunts to unload any teams…. at least in the very near future. This is really a problem with distribution; where they’re putting the teams. When Portland and Vancouver come into the league, it’s going to catch national attention. Same thing with the Union, Revolution, and Red Bulls (I’ll bet you attendance will improve on the second game of those matches). For the first time there are going to be geographically natural rivalries. I truly to believe the secret is to cluster teams into those geographical groupings Miami, NC, GA. Folks take pride in their community (at least most of us do) and these types of rivalries just feed the gate.

by swansuite on Mar 29, 2010 12:30 PM PDT reply actions  

Except Dallas and Houston.

And Columbus would have had 1,000 more at the game if TFC fans hadn’t gotten tasered last year. But that still only would have made 14k.

Geography is important. But it is not the sole solution to the problem.

by Cornchops on Mar 29, 2010 2:17 PM PDT up reply actions  

Marketing?

I’m curious how those teams are being marketed… I’ve seen a discussion (here? somewhere else?) about marketing in the MLS… or lack thereof. I think one of the reasons the Sounders might have such great attendance is that most people know they exist. My wife has an online friend in Houston who didn’t know she had a local MLS team until about 2 weeks ago…

by beowuff on Mar 29, 2010 12:50 PM PDT reply actions  

That's the biggest criticism

From what I’ve read, it sounds like the Hunts don’t want to spend money on advertising, especially in Dallas. They are getting a lot of the blame for that situation, at least from soccer commentators, but MLS seems reluctant — at best — to do anything about it.

by Jeremiah Oshan on Mar 29, 2010 1:13 PM PDT up reply actions  

You’d also think that with Dallas being in Texas… they should have a better attendance considering Dallas has a population of 35.6% Hispanics (US census Bureau http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/48/4819000.html) and so forth. It’s a stereotype I guess… but they tend to be into football/soccer. Also, I wonder how many people know the stadium is not in Dallas but is in a suburb Frisco… Dallas has been relatively horrible in recent history but I wouldn’t say the MLS has many very strong teams (most barely achieve the ranking of mediocrity imo). When they made their run winning the last 4 games (before meeting the Sounders in the final game) I think there attendance picked up considerably… but haven’t look hard to find the attendance number to show one way or another.

by majora999 on Mar 29, 2010 1:39 PM PDT up reply actions  

This is part of the problem...

I think they just look at the demographics and expect people to turn out because the have Hispanic last names. The reality is that a large part of the population there will have loyalties to Mexican football and easy access to their games. Why drive all the way out to Frisco to watch an inferior product when the franchise just takes you for granted. Won’t work… can’t work.

by brokejumper on Mar 29, 2010 2:00 PM PDT up reply actions  

I wrote about this last year

In my opinion, the evidence suggests that high Hispanic population is a minus, not a plus: http://www.sounderatheart.com/2009/12/2/1181981/mls-and-the-hispanic-market.

by CarlosT on Mar 29, 2010 9:22 PM PDT up reply actions  

Did you read the post?

Because Carlos talks about how legacy attachment to non-MLS teams is unlikely to be swayed by an MLS team merely existing in the local market.

I am not a Supporter
I am not a Fan
I am a Sounder
Sounder At Heart

by Dave Clark on Mar 29, 2010 10:10 PM PDT up reply actions  

Chances are he didn't

In any case, an analogy I’ve used in the past is a fledgling soft drink company trying to market to life long members of the Pepsi fan club. They may love cola, but they’re a harder sell than the general public because they’ve already established strong brand loyalty. The same is true for a lot of Hispanic soccer fans. They have deep loyalties, often stretching back generations, to clubs outside MLS. And with the relatively high availability of soccer from all parts of the world, these fans aren’t lacking for ways to satisfy their appetites. In either soda or soccer, you’re better off marketing to consumers who are up for grabs first, and only worry about winning over your competitors most loyal adherents when you’ve grown to be a giant yourself.

by CarlosT on Mar 30, 2010 12:50 AM PDT up reply actions  

Take a page from RSL

If the Crew are struggling with attendance/marketing, they should take a page from the RSL playbook and start giving out college discounts. Columbus has a massive student base at tOSU, and as we know, any large campus has a large number of football supporters from around the world. If they could get some rowdy, drunken students to show up, not only would it help fill the stands, but it would help to create a great atmosphere.

by Yellowdart00 on Mar 29, 2010 1:41 PM PDT up reply actions  

crew already do college discounts

I am not a Supporter
I am not a Fan
I am a Sounder
Sounder At Heart

by Dave Clark on Mar 29, 2010 1:56 PM PDT up reply actions  

I just realized

that made no sense, because we’re talking about Crew and Yellowdart was referencing RSL.

by chrisperry1983 on Mar 29, 2010 4:52 PM PDT up reply actions  

Actually,

the non sequitor made me laugh even harder.

by Nick_in_Seattle on Mar 31, 2010 12:51 PM PDT up reply actions  

As other posters allude,

many teams were or are between a rock and a hard place with regard to stadium location. Most teams don’t have the cash or political buy-in to acquire a centrally located (i.e. downtown) parcel for a stadium. Hence we get lovely SSSs in places like Frisco, TX (which is really a suburb of Plano, which is itself a suburb of Dallas), Commerce City, CO and Sandy, UT. Crew Stadium is in Columbus, but it’s roughly 4 miles from downtown. If I recall correctly, KC’s, San Jose’s and Houston’s planned stadiums will not be downtown either. I know that the Wizards new digs will be in Kansas City, but it’s Kansas City, KANSAS, which again, is a suburb.

It’s hard to market to the young, wealthy urban soccer aficionados (who are fueling Seattle and Toronto’s booming attendance) when your stadium is miles and miles from the urban core. I love the Sounders, but I’d be a TV consumer only if they played in say, Auburn. It’s a huge problem with no easy solution for many teams and MLS.

by 108Ultra on Mar 29, 2010 2:54 PM PDT reply actions  

San Jose's proposed stadium site

Is not in downtown, but neither is the population. Their stadium proposed stadium location is actually pretty great, as it’s right next to two freeways, already has access because of the airport, is reasonably near CalTrain, there’s actually a pretty nice park that essentially leads from downtown all the way to the site and is very close to the stadium they’re playing in now. I can’t speak to the locations of the other proposed stadiums other than the fact that I think you’re right about them being outside of downtown.

by Jeremiah Oshan on Mar 29, 2010 3:13 PM PDT up reply actions  

I think it also depends on the city

15 miles to Sandy from down town SLC isn’t like 15 miles to Tukwilla here.

by blakec on Mar 29, 2010 4:08 PM PDT up reply actions  

The commisioner addressed some of that during his visit

I seem to recall Garber talking about how location of the SSS was now being given greater weight. For all it’s faults PiGE stadium will be down town, on the Max line. Vancouver’s stadium will also be downtown. From what I understand about Philly, their stadium is close to the rail line, as is the RBS stadium.

Mass transit may not by much of a hook for the mini van crowd, but it’s abosutly required if you want to attract poor, hip college age fans.

by blakec on Mar 29, 2010 4:07 PM PDT up reply actions  

a little reality

Not every city is going to be able to build downtown, in Dallas the property values would increased the costs of the stadium by probably double the amount spent. Even billionaire Mav’s owner Cuban located outside (a mile) of downtown in Dallas. The problem is Dallas is two fold, not all Hispanics are going to be MLS fans, ever as many follow teams in Mexico or South America and could careless about MLS.

Second is the fact that they should have gone to Arlington where the other stadiums, and hence other sports related businesses are located. Trying to build soccer complexs around stadiums is fine but it isn’t going to lead to what is seeming to work in Seattle and New York, that is having something to do before and after the match. Be that dinner, shopping or whatever. Seattle has a nice population base downtown as the number of highrise condos has increased and activities are centered around the metro area. Dallas is a ghost town after 7pm every night of the week, there are a pocket or two of clubs but the people flee downtown in massive numbers as soon as they get off work.

Frisco is a trip on a good day, and if one lives in Garland, Mesquite, or anywhere south it is simply a trek both ways. I think they hoped that Plano would provide a good customer base for them but it hasn’t worked out that way. Each market has to look at who they expect their customer base to be, where do they live, and then determine what locations are available to them. I know that Dave Checketts wanted to build downtown, but kept getting yanked around by the city and property owners, he looked for a partner and found one in Sandy. His plan is to eventually do a lot of development around the stadium with hotels, shopping, bars, and such, then the economy went to pot and now you fight for survival and hope you can eventually get back on plan.

by denz on Mar 29, 2010 5:22 PM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

You bring up some excellent points

Arlington would have been the perfect location. I’m not sure where the new Dallas Cowboys stadium was in terms of planning when FC Dallas (then the Burn) were looking for a new playing field, but a lot of sports minded traffic goes through there.

Soccer in North Texas is big. That’s the mystery. They have a nationally recognized clubs in Texans, Solar, and Andromeda. The Dallas Cup is now @ Pizza Hut Park. According to ESPN, the metroplex hosts 5 – 6 top 50 high school soccer teams in the country, including Number One ranked Dallas Jesuit. Frisco is just too out of the way.

by deepsouthsoccer on Mar 29, 2010 7:03 PM PDT up reply actions  

Location just one problem

I heard on the Match Fit USA radio show (can’t remember the actual name) that there was a huge youth soccer tournament literally happening on the same facility the same weekend as the Dallas FC game, and they STILL couldn’t draw. There problems only begin with being located in a suburb of a suburb. It sounds like ownership has just totally ignored the fanbase.

by Jeremiah Oshan on Mar 29, 2010 7:28 PM PDT up reply actions  

that's it

Guess I should have checked my iTunes which was still up. Lazy me. Thanks.

by Jeremiah Oshan on Mar 29, 2010 11:42 PM PDT up reply actions  

Houstons Stadium will be downtown

Dynamo ownership said a downtown stadium was the only option for the reasons you stated. Thats one of the reasons it has taken so long. It will be next to the convention center, just blocks from Minute Maid Park (Astros) and Toyota Center (Rockets) and next to a proposed rail line.

by GeoJock on Mar 30, 2010 2:14 PM PDT up reply actions  

The numbers you present are not the whole picture

Yes the number are down, but they are by no means the whole picture.

First this opening weekend had the crap Dallas home match which is inexcuseable. It also had home matches from KC and SJ the two smallest venues in MLS, and both were at capacity. The Columbus attendance is supposedly flat from last season when you takeout the away support from Toronto. Last year 2k traveled from Toronto to Cbus, this year the number was under 500. So the actual Columbus based attendance was around 13k both years.

The sky is not falling after this weekends attendance. In fact I would say it was encouraging rather than discouraging. Especially with Chivas up several thousand over last year.

by edwardgr on Mar 29, 2010 9:00 PM PDT reply actions  

Well, that's not really what I said

I definitely didn’t paint a “sky is falling” picture. Mainly, I was saying that attendance looks real bad in Dallas and not as good as it should in Columbus.

by Jeremiah Oshan on Mar 29, 2010 11:37 PM PDT up reply actions  

And one more thing

The numbers from opening weekend are up overall, which I acknowledge. It’s just that they’re up mainly on the back of NYRB and Seattle, while flat everywhere else but Dallas, where they are down by 50 percent.

by Jeremiah Oshan on Mar 29, 2010 11:41 PM PDT up reply actions  

Agreed

Its way too early to judge attendance after one game. I’m not looking at Seattle’s schedule (or any other for that matter) but how often are you guys playing at 4:00 on a Saturday afternoon?

Columbus’ game against Toronto was in the middle of the day (a nice one, in Columbus is hard to find these days). You could attribute part of it to that. As the season goes on, the attendance will level out to where its supposed to be.

Columbus til I die, Columbus til I die. I know I am, I swear I am, Columbus til I die!

"Turner, at midcourt...inside it, at the buzzer, GOT IT!!!!"

by Andrew Tolliver on Mar 30, 2010 6:54 AM PDT up reply actions  

We have four home games

starting between 12:00 and 1:00. They’ll have 36k, too.

by Cornchops on Mar 30, 2010 7:06 AM PDT up reply actions  

Two more on Thursday night as well

IIRC

Also with 36,000+

MLS/North American soccer fans need to quit making excuses why they aren’t going, and just go.

I am not a Supporter
I am not a Fan
I am a Sounder
Sounder At Heart

by Dave Clark on Mar 30, 2010 8:30 AM PDT up reply actions  

The sky IS falling in Dallas

All the variables that impact attendance where POSITIVE in Dallas yet they turned in attendance that was DREADFUL. Saturday game, nice weather, opening day, cross state rival, the benefit of 1.5k+ Dynamo fans, strong finish to 2009. I don’t know what more you would want. Simply put, FCD is no longer a legitimate sports franchise in DFW. People will go to the games when it is convenient buts that’s it; they don’t make their schedule around them. With no beckham or blanco game this year, FCD will be luck to average more than 9k this year and will become MLS’s hands down worst franchise.

by GeoJock on Mar 30, 2010 2:24 PM PDT up reply actions  

Seems to me MLS needs to lean on Hunt to actually take an active hand in promoting FC Dallas

Columbus I’m not as worried about, although they could stand to do a few more promotions.

It’s almost as though the owners thought, Dallas! Mexican population! We won’t need to do anything! Clearly that is not the case. They need to reach out to families to pull them in, especially in Texas where American football reigns supreme.

7500 to Holte - American footy fans are slightly unprepared

by Kirsten Schlewitz on Mar 29, 2010 9:10 PM PDT reply actions  

One of the problems not talked about much is quality

From anecdotal experience, I have plenty of friends that are huge soccer fans. They’ve played their entire lives, are selling possessions to go to the World Cup in South Africa, coach youth soccer…for all intensive purposes they live, breath and die with soccer.

None are fans of MLS soccer. They would rather take a day off work and watch Champions League on HD TV or DVR EPL and go to an NFL / MLB game on weekends. I’ve asked them straight up why not watch MLS and they’d rather watch Messi do his thing (which puts a smile on any soccer fans face) over watching players who are only slightly more athletic and skilled than HS soccer players F up on the field.

Granted, I believe this is far from the truth these days (although one can hardly argue that the quality in the big European leagues isn’t heads and shoulders above MLS still), and maybe 14 years ago when the MLS first came out it was closer to the truth, but this is what people…soccer fans believe.

I wouldn’t be surprised if the majority of the Hispanic population that is quoted above and has been banked on without any marketing by the Hunts is happy to sit at home and watch ESPN deportes and their favorite teams from Mexico, South America etc.

Based on this weak evidence and conjecture, I wonder if there is a quality threshold, an imaginary line of 3 or 4 or 5 Ljundbergs (or whatever it is) that needs to be achieved until people really start to seek out (because that is what we have to do, since it isn’t on ESPN hourly, on the radio, newspapers etc) MLS soccer.

http://web.me.com/lienc/Site/Sounders_Talk/Sounders_Talk.html

http://web.me.com/lienc/Site/Sounders_Talk/Sounders_Talk.html

by sounderstalk on Mar 29, 2010 9:23 PM PDT reply actions  

A couple months ago, I would have believed this.

After spending over a month in London, however, I don’t think that’s what’s holding MLS back. I met plenty of people who are MLS fans, which requires just as an absurd of a schedule as being an EPL fan in the states. In addition, it’s rare that European games would conflict with American games. They are simply not the same schedule.

Yes, a Mexican or CONMEBOL match might occur during an MLS game. But I don’t think that’s why people aren’t showing up. Football fans are football fans, and we will watch anything from a non-league game to a Champions League match. I’m betting that the issue with Dallas is the location—it’s simply difficult to get to and from that stadium. If it’s not an atmosphere that makes it work it, makes the fans feel like they are part of something, then they’re not going to go. The footy on the tv or, even more so, kicking the ball around the park is going to be more enticing.

7500 to Holte - American footy fans are slightly unprepared

by Kirsten Schlewitz on Mar 30, 2010 8:13 AM PDT up reply actions  

Agree and disagree

I agree with your premise. The MLS was borderline bizzare, with Seattle about to draw more fans by half way than the average MLS will draw all year…and that seems to be getting worse.

However look at Chicago and other teams 2009 attendance early on and then look at where they finished. They were drawing pathetic, then finished with 16k like everyone else not in an outlier town.

THIS IS A HUGE CONCERN FOR SEATTLE FANS. We have a great thing going, but you are only as good as your league.

Sure the EPL has some teams that really aren’t strong in terms of supporters or chances of victory and the league on average draws only 35,000 or so.
BUT we do not want the joke of EPL with the same team winning every year
AND 35k is still twice as much as MLS draws.

by Charles J on Mar 30, 2010 8:12 AM PDT reply actions  

I'm confused about what you're saying.

Are you saying we don’t want to be United? And that if the league is skewed in terms of attendance, we will end up with a dominant Top 4 and then MLS will be a joke?

7500 to Holte - American footy fans are slightly unprepared

by Kirsten Schlewitz on Mar 30, 2010 8:18 AM PDT up reply actions  

Verbal skills

I am shocked you can not understand with my verbal skills….

I do want the league to be united, I don’t want Seattle to be ManU if the league is unfair.
I like the competitiveness of MLS and I think the EPL is a joke.
BUT if that is the case ( and it is ), if the rest of the league does not draw, your team will not be good.

AND if that is the case ( and it is ) and your league is MLS, you could be a great team in a league that goes belly up.

by Charles J on Mar 30, 2010 11:11 AM PDT up reply actions  

Also

By “that is the case” = league is united, single entity, parity, competitive etc.

by Charles J on Mar 30, 2010 11:13 AM PDT up reply actions  

I still don't get what you're saying.

But you understand that in 15 years, DC has won 4 times? This league isn’t balanced, either. If what you’re saying is that all teams need to have a consistently high attendence to keep the league competitive then yes, I agree that is an element of it.

7500 to Holte - American footy fans are slightly unprepared

by Kirsten Schlewitz on Mar 30, 2010 11:57 AM PDT up reply actions  

7 different winners in past 9 years

DC’s MLS Cups were in the pre-Garber era.

I am not a Supporter
I am not a Fan
I am a Sounder
Sounder At Heart

by Dave Clark on Mar 30, 2010 12:40 PM PDT up reply actions  

The EPL isn't really a joke,

but it is about three divisions in one:

The top (which is the same 4-6 teams every year)

The middle (which can result in Europa League)

The bottom (which is a relegation battle).

That they claim to be one division is the joke. It hasn’t operated that way for a while. For the top teams, losing out on Champions League is a little like relegation. For the middle, getting into the Europa Cup is a little like promotion. For the bottom, escaping relegation is like promotion, and being relegated is like…well…relegation.

by Cornchops on Mar 30, 2010 12:33 PM PDT up reply actions  

I love that aspect

The middle of the pack is a lot of fun. Love my Spurs. The relegation battle is fun to watch too, although this year with Portsmouth being in administration it has a bit of a darker side. I was really pulling for Burnley, but it’s looking more and more like they’ll be sent back down. It’s going to be exciting to have Newcastle and (likely) Nottingham in the top next season.

by chrisperry1983 on Mar 30, 2010 12:57 PM PDT up reply actions  

I won't deny that it's fun.

Each tier has it’s drama and intrigue. And if you take them for what they are, it can be quite exciting following three leagues in one. However, parity does have it’s benefits. Good luck to your Spurs; may they someday reach the top.

by Cornchops on Mar 30, 2010 4:02 PM PDT up reply actions  

Joke

First of all if only 6 teams can win a competition out of 40-60 teams, that is a joke.
Second of all, the top is 6 teams ? Which ones am I missing ? There are three currently, and you don’t need to follow the season to know which ones, the only ones to win ever ( outside of one outlier season ) ….

MLS had the top 10 teams within 9 points last year. 10 points seperate 3rd and 4th place in the PL.
The MLS last place team from 2008 finished second in 2009, the second place team in 2008 finished last in 2009. In the EPL, the 15th place team is 40, yes 40 points behind the leaders…it won’t end that close.

Regarding DC, they had a very good team in the 90s winning 3 out of 4 years, they hardly dominate like the other United however for 17 years now.

It would be tough for Toronto, Seattle etc to have won it 4 times.
Not so tough for a team that was in the league for the full 15 years and played when there were only 12 teams….random could come close to that.

MLS is very competitive. EPL is a joke.

by Charles J on Mar 30, 2010 2:18 PM PDT up reply actions  

I for one am not a huge fan of forcing leagues to be competitive top to bottom.

You end up robbing yourself of seeing truly great squads for the sake of mass mediocrity. To each their own though.

by Sec 108 on Mar 31, 2010 9:07 AM PDT up reply actions  

So I know I'm bringing up the invisible 800 pound gorilla here, but...

…what about a non-American system that has less of an emphasis on the leagues and allows the teams to do what they will? Put this in place with a promotion/relegation option and merge with the old USL/whatever that league that is trying to form itself from USL teams is and let the teams and cities that can handle the highest level of US soccer handle it. I know that will piss off Portland and Vancouver to pay in $100M to play in a league that might demote them to “championship” level after a bad season, but the flip side of that is that the league needs to stop looking at cash infusion from expansion as a means of revenue.

It’s not an easy answer, I know, but I also don’t think it’s fair for the entire league to collapse just because 3 or 4 teams can’t handle it.

by Johnny Slick on Mar 30, 2010 10:36 AM PDT reply actions  

Promotion and relegation would destroy clubs

If teams like KC, San Jose, Dallas, etc were relegated, that would be their absolute demise. Already low numbers combined with now suddenly becoming part of the “minor league” would kill them. American sports tiers aren’t perceived the same as in Europe. The Championship is still a pro league and is viewed that way. AAA Baseball is pro, but is viewed as being in “the minors”. It’s not taken seriously. Much the same way nobody takes USL teams seriously. You don’t see big ticket sponsors lining up to sponsor minor league teams, or networks clamoring to get their games on their channel. Only the big leagues. That’s how I see it at least.

by chrisperry1983 on Mar 30, 2010 11:15 AM PDT up reply actions  

AAA and the Championships aren't really analagous.

Although before Major League Baseball got a hold of the lower leagues, I guess they could be. FWIW the minor leagues up to around the late 40s were great! They behaved quite a bit like the FA of today – you had teams wheeling and dealing, finding their own prospects, selling those guys out to the bigger leagues, doing whatever they could to make a buck. I strongly recommend the book “Veeck as in Wreck” if you think this structure could never work in the US.

Sadly, the majors bought out the minors. Part of a promotion/relegation idea is that you don’t allow this.

by Johnny Slick on Mar 30, 2010 3:26 PM PDT up reply actions  

800 pound gorilla = 0 pound gorilla

IF Seattle gets demoted then what ?

I am a free markets type of guy,
BUT I think pro/rel is the stupidest idea in all of business and sports.

Base the winners on who can make/borrow the most money ?
Take a team making a lot of money ( Newcastle ) and have them make a lot less ?
(even if it is for one season it is stupid )
Have one season of injuries and your team is ruined and relegated to a league you don’t want to watch ?
Have one or two teams win every season like EPL/LaLiga ?

WHY ?

by Charles J on Mar 30, 2010 11:18 AM PDT up reply actions  

I knew this would come up

And to a degree, I think it’s kind of irrelevant to the issue at hand: Relegation doesn’t fix, and probably exacerbates, the fact that some teams are underperforming at the gate. Whether we had a relegation system or not, the overall strength of the league is the important issue. This isn’t about winning on the field, it’s about spinning the turnstiles. We can debate relegation til we’re blue in the face. I don’t see how it boosts attendance league wide.

Let’s just assume that Seattle, New York, Los Angeles and Toronto end up the kings in our relegation alternate universe. Does anyone really believe that MLS becomes more popular on a league-wide basis. Does it do those four teams any good if they essentially play in a division amongst themselves while the other 20 teams (random assumption) fight for the crumbs. Absent strong leadership, how long before that setup fails miserably?

The point is, without strong leadership in every market, the league is bound to struggle. I don’t see how relegation solves that issue.

by Jeremiah Oshan on Mar 30, 2010 11:39 AM PDT up reply actions  

The reality is that the "Big Four" do change around a bit.

Really, I’m not convinced that the EPL is any less static in terms of the top teams than Major League Baseball. In terms of teams not getting the fans out, where this helps is that those cities that aren’t able to support an MLS club will drop into the 2nd division, where salaries will be lower and so on. And at the same time markets that have a taste for soccer – the Portlands and Vancouvers of the world – will be able to move up and perhaps establish themselves.

The other side of this is, of course, the eradication of territorial rights. A huge part of why the EPL works is that currently there are 5 teams in the Premiership based out of London. Some of them are stronger than others, but I can only imagine how much Arsenal would dominate if they didn’t have to siphon off fans to West Ham, Chelsea, Fulham, and Spurs. LA has basically two teams based out of it already. I don’t see flagging attendance in Chicago or Dallas as any reason not to allow another team in there. Actually, the LA model is fantastic as it speaks to the international aspect of the sport. Why not get a NY Puerto Rican club?

The EPL isn’t really the best comp for this because there’s no salary cap there, for example, and there are teams (Pompey most notably but see also Crystal Palace) who are looking at being wound up at the highest levels. A better comp might be the Bundesliga, which actually has a pretty decent amount of parity for a football league.

by Johnny Slick on Mar 30, 2010 3:22 PM PDT up reply actions  

In the US it's not practical to have multiple in one city

You are compairing a nation that is approximately the size of texas to a nation that is a whole lot bigger than that. They couldn’t fit more clubs around England if they didn’t have multiple in the major cities… the US on the other hand has loads of area to cover which makes it silly in my opinion to have two in one city. There are a good number of other cities that a team could be successful in if the management does it right. carolinas, Atlanta, St. Louis, Miami. Also all those clubs already don’t have amazing attendance either… so how would putting a second club improve average attendance? We don’t have a whole country full of soccer fanatics like England so splitting our already relatively small customer base would make no sense….

by majora999 on Mar 30, 2010 4:00 PM PDT up reply actions  

Baseball had 3 teams in New York up until the 50s

And when the Giants and Dodgers moved out, Yankees attendance actually went down.

I think that with a promotion/relegation setup one should be able to put together a team anywhere they want to. If that’s in Tuscaloosa, Alabama, and that’s an area that will support soccer, great. If it’s in Brooklyn and they’ll support a team, that’s great too. The point is that the market decides where expansion occurs, not MLS.

by Johnny Slick on Mar 30, 2010 4:17 PM PDT up reply actions  

And I'll say again...

How, exactly, does this help league-wide attendance? Do you really believe that putting multiple teams in the same city will boost attendance in places like Dallas or Houston or Chicago? Where does this team play? Why didn’t teams choose to play in those stadiums instead of the ones they currently occupy? I just don’t see how relegation answers the specific issue of boosting average attendance. Maybe you don’t see that as of big an issue as I do, but that’s not the point you seem to be trying to make.

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Then it's the bomb ...
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by Jeremiah Oshan on Mar 30, 2010 4:48 PM PDT up reply actions  

It's about getting people in the stands from wherever they want to come.

If the New York Red Bulls are not catering to the area’s Hispanic population, as an example, and another team comes into the city and does so, how does that have any negative effect on the Red Bulls’ attendance? Or what if there is a large contingent of people who live around Queens who want to follow a soccer team but don’t want to commute to Jersey to do it? A team that is built up around them might not steal more than a dozen fans from the Red Bulls. My point is, if a given city’s team is having issues putting butts in the seats and another team comes along and does a better job at it, the league benefits.

Yes, the competition could cause both teams to be affected, but that also speaks to capitalism as well. The one that does a better job at bringing in fans will be the one that wins out eventually. Territorial rights, if anything, impede this.

by Johnny Slick on Mar 30, 2010 8:21 PM PDT up reply actions  

So the minor league clubs currently in the USA don't draw well

Do you go to Tacoma Tide, or Seattle Wolves matches? Kitsap Pumas?

Why not?

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I am not a Fan
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by Dave Clark on Mar 30, 2010 9:00 PM PDT up reply actions  

With that in mind...

I suppose in it’s own way American soccer DOES have a form relegation, it’s just that it’s more based on attendance than performance. As we in Seattle have seen, if a team puts enough money and fan support behind a USL team that team eventually gets promoted (that’s essentially what happend in Portland and Vancouver, too). At the same time, if a team fails to draw like Miami, it doesn’t mean that city loses it’s team for perpetuity. It just means another owner has the opportunity to try his hand at a lower level, as is happening there now, and will again look to prove his team deserves promotion by spending money and building a fanbase.

Nothing stops anyone from starting a team from scratch, finding a place to play, cultivating a fanbase and looking for a league to take them. It’s not as clear cut as relegation/promotion in other leagues, but it’s not like certain cities or overlooked populations within cities (Chivas USA) are banned from forming teams.

Because if it's not Love
Then it's the bomb ...
That will bring us together

by Jeremiah Oshan on Mar 31, 2010 8:18 AM PDT up reply actions  

Baseball

Do you not follow baseball at all ?
There have been 8 World Series winners in the last 10 years !
In that timespan ( not looking it up ) there have probably been 8 Man U titles.

A list of teams that won it all and have absolutely stunk during only 10 years.
Anaheim, Arizona, Philly, ChiSox, and Florida.

Who exactly is the Florida of the EPL ? In the cellar ( meaning 30th or so ) in 1999 and then won it all in 2003. THAT WOULD NEVER HAPPEN IN THE EPL. The 10th best team has no chance…..EVER !

by Charles J on Mar 31, 2010 7:11 AM PDT up reply actions  

Just in case

You claim the post season makes it more competitive.
I looked it up…The Yankees did finish with the most wins 4 times this decade, but they were tied 3 of those…with 3 different teams. Away from that, you have StL with two, the other 6 teams with one time best record.
The EPL has had 8 different teams with the best record ( or tied ) since 2001 ?!?!?!
IF so I will quit calling it a joke.

by Charles J on Mar 31, 2010 7:47 AM PDT up reply actions  

The EPL has fewer teams at the top than MLB.

But the general idea of the “big four” that dominates every year isn’t so far off from the dominance of the Yankees and Red Sox in the AL. The divisional structure and playoffs hide that to some extent but those clubs are consistently at the top, the same way that, for example, Manchester United and Arsenal are consistently at the top of the EPL. The rest of the spots even over there are a bit more fluid. Chelsea is a contender right now and has been for a couple years but that wasn’t really the case in the 90s, for instance. Liverpool seems to be winding down and out of the Big Four, with Aston Villa and Man City jockeying to take their place.

If you want teams that have gone from worst to first in a couple years, no, you’re not going to get that in the EPL; that’s something that’s unique to non-promo/relegation systems. You do have teams (Fulham) that were down in League 1 in the 90s and who are currently competing in the Europa Cup, and teams that rose to a competitive level, overspent, and are now sinking to their “proper” level if they do survive (Portsmouth).

But again, the EPL is probably not the best comp for a MSL promotion/relegation system for the simple reason that they don’t have a real salary cap in England. A better comp is the Bundesliga, which definitely has its high flyers (Bayern Munich this year!) and relegation battlers, but which also has teams playing within themselves and from what I’ve seen a fair bit more parity since a large-market team can only get so much stronger than everyone else.

One of the biggest things about promotion/relegation isn’t so much the first few weeks anyway. The kvetching about attendance here isn’t so much that averaging nearly 18000 fans a game is bad, it’s that we all know that teams that aren’t competitive aren’t going to sustain those levels all season long. Maybe the best part of promotion/relegation is that it makes the end of the year exciting for “bad” teams (which in the EPL/Bundesliga/etc. aren’t so much “bad” as “about to be relegated”). Where in the MSL the New York Red Bulls are likely to be playing second stringers in Week 30 to see who can help them next year, they would still be battling late to keep themselves from getting replaced in the premiere league by, I don’t know, Charlotte or something. Add onto that the jockeying to get into the top 4 for Champions seating (which the MLS has to some extent) and the 5th to 7th spots for the Europa Cup and just about every team in the EPL has something to shoot for up to the last week or two of the season.

by Johnny Slick on Mar 31, 2010 10:21 AM PDT up reply actions  

The MLS has sort of created a Europa League... like tournament

For the teams 4-7 there is the Superliga tournament where they play the 4 Mexican teams that just missed out on the champions league. I think if the MLS or somebody worked at it they could make that tournament or something similar to incorporate all of Concacaf instead of just two nations. That would add something to fight for if it was made big enough. The grand prize for winning the Superliga is like 1 million dollars… which is a lot for MLS.

Right now I don’t think promotion/relegation would work… and I think for the most part it wouldn’t work in American sports. I think the MLS or whoever runs the Superliga should try to grow it more and make it a little more noticed than it currently is, but if they do that that would put almost half the MLS teams in some kind of international tournament similar to leagues like EPL.

by majora999 on Mar 31, 2010 1:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

The Crew had a tough break with OSU and Evan Turner in the tourney

Not much in american sports will beat out that draw. Dallas will always have marketinbg issues until they get rid of those godawful kits.

Who cares how bad the Bay deal will look in 2013, the world is going to end in 2012 anyway

by Stephen Schmidt on Apr 1, 2010 9:24 PM PDT reply actions  

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