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Around SBN: 2011 In Extreme Home Runs

Groups E and F: Quick Review

The captain sinks with the ship: champions four years ago, Cannavarro and Italy head home as the bottom of their group.

I've been trying to write these as previews before the last group stage matches, but obviously I didn't make it for this one. So, here's a quick wrap-up of how these groups shook out.

Star-divide

Group E: Not quite the Group of Death this year, but one that produced a good quality matches. Here's a quick review of the teams from worst to best.

  • Cameroon
    Already eliminated and playing for pride only against the already qualified Dutch, Eto'o and his compatriots are going home without claiming a single point. In the end, the game comes down to getting the ball to cross the line, and Cameroon only managed that twice. They join the hosts, Nigeria, and Algeria in the club of African teams that couldn't take advantage of playing on the home continent. Only Ivory Coast has any chance of joining Ghana in the second round, and they need a couple of miracles to pull it off.
  • Denmark
    Did well to come back against Cameroon, but weren't up to the task against Japan, who were particularly inspired in that final match. Nothing much to say beyond that.
  • Japan
    Fell to the Netherlands, like everyone else in the group, but improved steadily. Their win over Denmark was built on superbly taken free kicks, and Paraguay will have to be extremely careful about fouling near the penalty area. Keisuke Honda in particular is extremely dangerous, and notched a beautiful free-kick goal, and a crafty assist against the Danes.
  • Netherlands
    The Netherlands were efficient and effective. Three matches, three wins, five goals for, one against. Not the flashiest numbers in the Cup so far, but then this group didn't have any punching bags. Cameroon may not have been able to get a point, but no team was able to walk over them, and their rivals' victories over them were hard earned. Netherlands next faces Slovakia, and one would have to give the Oranje a great chance of making the quarterfinals.

Group F: what can you say? This group feature two big surprises, and they're the teams that didn't qualify. This kind of thing is why they play the games and why the World Cup is so great.

  • Italy
    After France, one of the giant surprises of the tournament. Four times champions and one of the teams that is always on the list of favorites to take the Cup, Italy crashed and burned without managing a single victory. Italy actually came into the last match in the group with a chance of winning it, with something less of a win from Paraguay and a solid victory over Slovakia with enough goals to overtake the South Americans on goal difference. Even a draw might have been enough, as long as the Kiwis lost or drew with fewer goals. Alas, while New Zealand helped by drawing nil all with Paraguay, the Italians fell into disarray and gave up three goals before clawing back two. Too little, too late, and they were gone.
  • New Zealand
    Didn't make it through, but most people will consider them as having overperformed on their undefeated, though also winless, run. Something to build on for the future in a country where soccer takes a seat several rows behind rugby.
  • Slovakia
    Not hugely impressive in their first two matches, but turned it on when it counted against Italy. I have my doubts about them against the Netherlands, but that's for the future. For now, they can bask in the glow of getting through the group stage.
  • Paraguay
    Like the USA, Paraguay took the top of the group partly on the because the titan had feet of lead. Even so, winning the group is winning the group and their reward is taking on the Japanese instead of the Dutch. It is probably a preferable match up, but as they just demonstrated against Denmark, the Japanese are armed and dangerous. It looks like Paraguay will have to bring its best game in order to reach the quarterfinals.

Now that Groups E and F are done, Friday sees the end of the group stage as Groups G and H finish up. The Lusophones look to have Group G sewn up, with Ivory Coast needing a victory and a minor miracle to overturn the Portuguese's nine goal advantage over them. In Group H, all teams still have an arithmetic chance, with Chile, Spain, and Switzerland all with realistic chances of making it through, and Honduras with an outsider but still possible if all the results go the right way.

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Go Chile

Send the Spanish home.

by blakec on Jun 25, 2010 10:06 AM PDT reply actions  

France and Italy are only surprises if you don't pay attention to football, I have no idea why people keep acting shocked

France hasn’t touched a ball right since the World Cup finals of 2006. They’ve been consistently terrible since. They didn’t even leave ther (scary) group in the European Cup. No one should be surprised they suck, at all.

Italy is slightly more surprising, but also not shocking. They’ve aged badly, and the coach kept dragging the rotting corpse along without daring to make necessary changes. I would’ve expected them to make it out of the group and then be knocked out, but they didn’t even do that. But am I absolutely shocked they were knocked out? Of course not. No one should be.

I’m sorry, but “one of the teams that is always on the list of favorites to take the Cup”? No. No they weren’t. They shouldn’t be. They weren’t this year, because they were fielding a terrible team. And maybe the quality of the teams France and Italy fielded is shocking, but the fact that they were sent out shouldn’t have surprised anyone.

It’s easy to get distracted by names, and I can see newspaper headlining the Italian send-off as if it’s shocking, but anyone who knows football will just shrug and go “Yip, makes sense.”

The Netherlands, on the other hand, is interesting. We’re not complete yet. Robben gets all the attention, but at least equally important is revolving the striker position. Ideally van Persie grows into a better form. If he doesn’t, Huntelaar might be the answer. But with Robben playing 90 minutes and van Persie at full strength, I think we can take any team in this World Cup. At least with how Brazil and Portugal played, though we shouldn’t expect that low level of play every time.

by Thomas Beekers on Jun 25, 2010 10:37 AM PDT reply actions  

Which reminds me

A lot of pundits punt around the idea that we’re “business-like”, or as you put it effective. We’re not, we’re just playing well below our potential, but still winning. It’d be business-like if it were what we were trying to do tactically or effort-wise, but it’s not, we just haven’t been very good yet.

by Thomas Beekers on Jun 25, 2010 11:27 AM PDT up reply actions  

I like the Netherlands not playing at its full potential.

They’ve gone full out early only to find themselves floundering.

RVP looked better in the last match, but not spectacular. Robben came on and changed the game, so if he can play a full match, it will be dangerous. And I love what I’ve seen of the youngsters. Huntelaar and Elia have impressed me quite a bit.

Hup Holland Hup!

by Kirsten Schlewitz on Jun 25, 2010 4:52 PM PDT up reply actions  

Huntelaar is nearly 27, older than Sneijder

I don’t like him. Too little football skill, too much finding the right position to score. Like Inzaghi. Not my kind of player,

by Thomas Beekers on Jun 26, 2010 10:55 PM PDT up reply actions  

Playing below potential and still winning

Is pretty much the definition of effective, so I don’t think we disagree. I’d also say that Sneijder could play a big part in Netherlands going far in the tournament.

by CarlosT on Jun 25, 2010 10:24 PM PDT up reply actions  

I expected the Portugal and Brazil match to play out just like it did

Both were already in the knockout stage and Kaka was sitting out with a red.

by Coug1990 on Jun 25, 2010 12:57 PM PDT up reply actions  

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