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MLS Playoffs: Sounders at Salt Lake Leg One - Projected Lineups, Statistics

One change is certain, another simply can't be known.

The biggest lineup news is that Mauro Rosales will not travel for the match at Real Salt Lake. That basically assures that the Seattle Sounders will have Lamar Neagle on the left and Alvaro Fernandez on the right. That move will of course shift the substitution plan a bit. Something that is already adjusted because of the higher elevation in Sandy, Utah.

There are only three questions with the starting lineup that Sigi Schmid will answer. The 50/50 sharing plan between Tyson Wahl and Leo Gonzalez. We expect that nod to go to Leo for his slightly stronger on-ball defense. The decision between Erik Friberg and Brad Evans has often come down to health, but with Evans stronger offense we expect he'll get the nod in the middle. He also provides a stronger defensive presence in set-piece situations, a particular strength of Salt Lake.

No First XI question is bigger than picking between Sammy Ochoa and Mike Fucito. Due to RSL's relative struggles with speed in general and Fucito's play specifically I hope that he would start. There's some thought that you play the team that got you to this point. And the late season lineup featured more Fucito than not-Fucito. But, it isn't a simple answer. Both will play, and Jeremiah notes the following about Ochoa. "In his admittedly limited time with Montero, he has proven to be a good pairing with Montero, who has thrived with a "big" strike partner. Montero's last five goals have come with either Ochoa or Nate Jaqua on the field. Playing Ochoa is more about giving Montero space than it is about Mike Fucito's relative skills."

Here's a reminder. Run-of-play and set-play numbers do not include rebounds (because data provided doesn't say if they are off of either), nor own goals, nor penalties (because does the run-of-play get awarded based on drawing them, or is it a set-play when scoring). All data is for MLS matches only. We've got a lot of all competitions data, but the viz is set-up for specific data that we don't have more non-MLS matches. There's no discipline box as no players have Playoffs discipline. Instead that space was used to show the head-to-head record and the referee crew.

Projected lineup for the Royals is provided by Denz at RSLSoapBox. It is their ideal XI at this point, and one that sees their best two players on the pitch again for the first time in many months.

Star-divide

 

What do you notice in the data that gives you hope or fear?

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Can someone explain to me what the tables with the black bars and red dots is telling me?

I don’t really understand what I’m looking at there.

Unofficial Sounder Fan Club President - New Mexico Division

by Brian23 on Oct 28, 2011 12:17 PM PDT reply actions  

Black bar is for counting stats

Red dot for rate stats

I am not a Supporter | I am not a Fan | I am a Sounder
Sounder At Heart

by Dave Clark on Oct 28, 2011 12:21 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions   1 recs

Ochoa

I think I’ve made it clear that I’m excited about what Ochoa’s bringing to the team, but I’m hoping Fucito gets the start. I’m torn because I actually don’t think the Montero/Fucito small/small pairing is really as effective as the Ochoa/Montero pairing, but here’s my rationale:

Fucito gives RSL fits. He’s fast, he’s a bulldog, and he’s not afraid to go head to head with Olave or anyone else if given the chance. He’s been trouble for RSL before, and I say run with it.

I’m not sure Ochoa is ready for the full 90 at altitude. Fucito is fitter, and giving him a full-tilt 60 and then subbing Ochoa is the right approach I think.

BTW, I absolutely love the humility from Ochoa on his two goals so far, “Both my goals have just been push in’s. Fredy and Mauro deserve 100% credit”. Right. Simple push-in, 1-touch goals that had to beat an in-position keeper. Love it. Watch the replay of his goal against Chivas. Look how hard he works to get onto the end of Fredy’s service.

And in conclusion, is anyone still wanting to make the argument that Ochoa is not a signficant upgrade over Nate?

by silver00 on Oct 28, 2011 3:43 PM PDT reply actions  

Ochoa vs Nate

I got to say bye bye Nate Ochoa is here to stay

by alexyepz on Oct 29, 2011 12:35 AM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

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