Sounders' Bench Has Played Significant Role In Improvement
The Seattle Sounders have been Major League Soccer's best team in the final 15 minutes. They have outscored their opponents 15-4 over that time, with no other team scoring more often nor allowing so few goals. The 11-goal difference is four better than any other team. But we already knew that, thanks to the reporting of Matt Gaschk.
What is not quite as clear is how the Sounders have built such a sizable late-game advantage. Surely, training and fitness are part of it. The Sounders rarely seem gassed at the end of games, and have exploited that to great success. Of those 15 goals, five have come at 90:00 or later or later. The Sounders have not allowed a single goal that late in the game.
But being in better shape just feels a little too simple of an answer. After all, this team was in great shape last year, too. During those same final 15 minutes, the Sounders were outscored 12-9 in 2010. So I dug around a little more to see if I could find any other clues that would possibly help explain why this Sounders team has performed so well late in games.
What I found may not be the magic bullet either, but I do think offers another plausible contributing factor: The Sounders have used more substitutions and allowed them to play for longer periods than they did last year. The big takeaway is that those subs have contributed seven goals and six assists, as opposed to four goals and three assists a season ago. Roger Levesque, Lamar Neagle and Sammy Ochoa each scored two goals off the bench this season. Alvaro Fernandez had the other bench goal.
But it's not just that subs have been scoring more, it's that they've been playing more too. Maybe it's out of necessity --either because of injuries or increased fixture congestion -- maybe it's by design, maybe the coaches saw something Dave wrote back in February, but Schmid has been going to his bench earlier in games than he did in 2010.
Sounders subs
Here's a look at how the Sounders used subs this year and last:| 2011 | 2010 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 7 | 4 |
| Assists | 6 | 3 |
| Minutes | 2222 | 1587 |
| Sub PP90 | 0.81 | 0.62 |
| Mins Per Sub | 23.1 | 18.9 |
| Total subs | 96 | 84 |
| Used 3 Subs | 68 | 52 |
| Subs per game | 2.82 | 2.8 |
The total number of subs Schmid used this year was not dramatically different on a per game basis than a year ago. On average, he used 2.82 subs per MLS game in 2011; last year, he used 2.80. He used all three of his subs roughly 79 percent of the time; a year ago it was 73 percent. Those aren't necessarily big differences.
Where you do start to see a difference is in the average number minutes those subs played. This year Sigi went to his bench 96 times and extracted 2,222 minutes out of those players, for an average of 23.14 minutes per substitute. That's an increase of 22.5 percent over the average number of minutes he gave to each sub last year. It's worth noting that Real Salt Lake, the Sounders' opponent in the Western Conference semifinals, also made good use of substitutes. Coach Jason Kreis used all three subs 26 times and logged 2,025 minutes from reserves.
It stands to reason that playing subs longer gives them more of an opportunity to impact the game, something we saw in stark numbers this year. Sigi gave subs at least 15 minutes 68 times this year, an average of 2.0 per game after giving them a similar number of minutes 1.73 times per game in 2010.
Those earlier entering subs contributed to 6 of 7 goals and 5 of 6 assists the team got off the bench this year. A year ago, the Sounders got 3 of 4 substitution goals and 2 of 3 substitution assists from early-entering players. Consequentially, Sounders subs posted a points per 90 of .81 this year, a roughly 30 percent increase over their 2010 PP90.
There's simply no denying that the Sounders have a much deeper roster than they have ever had before. Still, a good deal of credit deserves to go to Sigi for not only realizing that, but making good use of his bench. It remains to be seen if the Sounders can buck the trend of teams advancing deep into outside tournaments bowing out early in the MLS Cup playoffs. Strategies like this can't hurt that effort, though.
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Outliers
I recall seeing earlier subs being made this year, and also wondered if Sigi did indeed read Dave’s article. I do also recall a couple of super early subs being made this year (injuries to Zak and Rosales come to mind first), and wondered if they skewed the results at all. Was there a similar number of 1st half subs last year?
yeah, those outliers were basically equalled out...
I considered removing them from the equation, but felt they ignored the possibility that those subs would have been used anyway.
Editor/writer at Sounder at Heart, MLS editor SB Nation. Follow me on Twitter. You'll Never Yacht Alone.
by Jeremiah Oshan on Oct 28, 2011 2:26 PM PDT up reply actions
Quality analysis
This is why I love S@H
by PhootieD on Oct 28, 2011 2:38 PM PDT via mobile reply actions
Where are the viewing parties tomorrow?
Anybody know?
Also, CRUSH SALT LAKE!!!
by Milo1 on Oct 28, 2011 6:45 PM PDT via mobile reply actions
ask and you shall receive
Editor/writer at Sounder at Heart, MLS editor SB Nation. Follow me on Twitter. You'll Never Yacht Alone.
by Jeremiah Oshan on Oct 28, 2011 7:24 PM PDT up reply actions
also
I think that our substitutes also got many minutes as starters as well even before the multiple tournaments. And i also wonder if maybe the mental approach when you lose two starters to season ending injuries if it makes reserves try an extra bit harder knowing the holes are going to have to be filled long-term.
by python6114 on Oct 28, 2011 6:50 PM PDT via mobile reply actions
It is the mark of a great organization..
To have talent coming from seeming everywhere like we have. Kudos the front office, coaching staff, and players. We are watching, right before our eyes, how a winning organization is built. It has been an amazing 3 years, and we’re just getting started.
// STH, 4th season just bought.
by luckystriker on Oct 29, 2011 8:24 AM PDT reply actions 1 recs
Sigi defintely deserves some credit, no question at all, for his sub patterns and for recognizing,
I think, who the best sub is in a given situation. Still, I think another giant chunk of credit needs to go to Chris Henderson and all of the staff who work on scouting (I assume Sigi has a hand in this, too). We flat out have more talent on our bench than the majority of other MLS teams. I think the fact that we have more reotation of players and our subs have more impact is due partly to the kind of quality that’s waiting there. How many other teams in MLS have a guy like Neagle or a guy like Ochoa coming off the bench? Not many.
One more factor in our quality bench is that guys are motivated to improve. Look at Wahl or Scott. They weren’t even on the radar at the beginning of the season, but stepped up their games and improved and now are great contributors to the team as either starters or subs as needed.

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