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What Injuries To Jamison Olave and Nat Borchers Could Mean For Sounders' Chances

Nat Borchers' availability for Wednesday's game against the Seattle Sounders is very much in question. He'll travel with the team, though. (Photo by George Frey/Getty Images)

There's no good way of putting this: The Seattle Sounders are in a ridiculously deep hole right now. How deep? Since Major League Soccer went to its current playoff format in 2003, no team has ever trailed by three goals in the first leg and only seven teams have trailed by two after the first leg. Heck, only eight teams have ever trailed by three goals at any point in the entire two-legged conference semifinals.

There are some small rays of hope, though. The most obvious is that both of Real Salt Lake's starting center backs, Jamison Olave and Nat Borchers, were removed from Saturday's game with injuries. Olave (right quad) went out in the 32nd minute and Borchers (left knee) went out in the 84th. Both will travel with the team, but are being called game-time decisions.

Losing one or both of those players would be a significant blow to RSL. Together, they form arguably the best center back pairing in MLS.

With them both Olave and Borchers on the field, RSL allowed 1.05 goals per game. The only team to allow fewer goals per game this year was the Los Angeles Galaxy. They also posted a +9 goal difference in those 21 games, or an average of .38 per game.

Without at least one of them, RSL is not nearly as dominant. In the 13 MLS matches played without at least one of their starting center backs, RSL has played to an even goal-difference and given up 1.23 goals per match. That average would place them as the seventh best team in MLS.

Star-divide

The primary backup to both Olave and Borchers has been Chris Schuler. The 24-year-old is no slouch. At 6-foot-4, 195 pounds he's a big dude and has earned the trust of coach Jason Kreis enough to be given 16 starts and 20 appearances in MLS play alone. He was the first player off the bench on Saturday, subbing in for the injured Olave in the 32nd minute. If anything, the RSL defense seemed to get better from that point forward.

The real question is what RSL does if both Borchers and Olave are out. RSL only played one game with neither of those players on the field, and it's probably safe to say there's not much to be learned from it. It was back in April when RSL was in the midst of the CONCACAF Champions League final and sent a skeleton crew to New England. They won that game 2-0, for whatever it's worth.

Rauwshan McKenzie was the player that started alongside Schuler that day, and he would seem to be the most obvious choice to get the call on Wednesday. But that was also just one of two MLS appearance McKenzie made all season and just the ninth time he had played during his four-year MLS career.

It would not necessarily be shocking if Kreis elected to go with a more experienced player, even if they aren't primarily a center back. Among Kreis' options are Tony Beltran and Robbie Russell, one of whom will likely start at right back. Beltran has made 57 MLS starts over the past three seasons and has been one of RSL's more dependable defenders, but he's played almost exclusively at fullback. He also hasn't played since Sept. 10, the game in which he received two yellow cards against the Sounders. Beltran is currently listed as questionable due to an adductor strain that has been nagging him for several weeks.

At 6-foot-2, Russell looks a bit more like a center back than the 5-foot-8 Beltran, but he hasn't played there much either. In fact, Russell has started almost exclusively at right back throughout his four-year MLS career. Still, he's a physical presence and his overall experience could tip the scales in his favor.

Aside from the potentially wounded defense they'll be playing, the other bit of hope for the Sounders' comes from their own offense. Outscoring any opponent by three goals is obviously very difficult, but the Sounders have shown an ability to score in bunches this year.

Across all competitions, they've scored at least three goals 10 times. In half of those instances, they scored at least three goals in the second half alone. They've also won by at least three goals four different times, all of them coming at CenturyLink Field.

None of this means the Sounders are likely to come back, obviously. But being down 3-0 with the season on the ropes, you take what you can get. 

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“no team has ever trailed by three goals in the first leg”

This gives me hope. This team is good at doing things that have never been done before.

by Adam Waltering on Oct 31, 2011 1:48 PM PDT reply actions  

although I can tell it is not intended

But I still feel bad/guilty calling their injuries rays of hope. I know what you mean because I am happy they can not play next week but would rather it be because of cards or some other reason than injuries.

by lysander on Oct 31, 2011 2:05 PM PDT reply actions  

do you think

RSL fans weren’t giddy to hear about Mauro Rosales’ injury?

by Adam Waltering on Oct 31, 2011 2:17 PM PDT reply actions  

I don't think anyone is ever really "giddy" about injuries

All things considered, I think both sides would be happier if Wednesday’s contest included Zakuani, Rosales, Olave, and Borchers. There would be more talent, and I know I would be more excited to watch it. Part of the allure to professional sports is more than wins and losses, but watching highly talented athletes perform, and the higher the talent level, the better the spectacle.

by ubelmann on Oct 31, 2011 2:48 PM PDT up reply actions  

It's an odd feeling

Normally I hate it when a good player on an opposing team goes down with an injury. I’d rather the Sounders take on the best. But there’s no way they can beat RSL 3-0 on Wednesday if RSL’s defensive core is at full strength. They’re too good.

The SAH Links Guy

by Dizzo on Oct 31, 2011 3:46 PM PDT up reply actions  

I'm an RSL fan

I wasn’t giddy. Injuries suck, but they happen. Especially as Sounders fans have shared our pain re: injuries (you lost Zakuani, we lost Morales), I’m not happy that a player like Rosales was out. Purely analytically, it benefits us, but it doesn’t make me happy.

by Spoonsky on Oct 31, 2011 3:29 PM PDT reply actions  

And just to be clear

I’m not “happy” that Borchers and Olave may be hurt. But it is potentially good for the sounders.

Editor/writer at Sounder at Heart, MLS editor SB Nation. Follow me on Twitter. You'll Never Yacht Alone.

by Jeremiah Oshan on Oct 31, 2011 3:43 PM PDT up reply actions  

Side topic:

Does anybody know what the punishment is for:

- Running onto the field after a win
- Running onto the field after a win, naked

by chrisperry1983 on Nov 1, 2011 8:09 AM PDT up reply actions  

Replied too fast

Are we talking, misdeameanor, fines, jail time, criminal record, losing season tickets, banned from stadium…?

by chrisperry1983 on Nov 1, 2011 8:16 AM PDT up reply actions  

Probably depends on if you punch Beckerman so hard it breaks his face

and then start a brawl with five other RSL players. Based on the Petrolul Ploiesti vs. Steaua game the other day, that would be banned from one CLink and put in another.

But I don’t think they take streaking lightly either….

by Menthu Ra on Nov 1, 2011 12:38 PM PDT up reply actions  

This is only an issue if...

…the Sounders can dominate possession. 60% or more.

the tough part is going to be if we do get 1-2 back in the first half. After goal #1, RSL is going to try to just keep the ball and burn clock. After a second goal, they’re going to attack like crazy and, again, hold the ball. We can only exploit any RSL defensive weakness if we have the ball.

I keep thinking of every great comeback I know of in sports and generally, it’s come from one side dominating the fundamentals. Here, it’s pretty clear: hold the ball, take lots of shots (funny things happen when you take shots), mark your men at the back.

by jayw913 on Oct 31, 2011 4:55 PM PDT reply actions  

Here's a question

Would you rather see RSL play with a hobbled Borchers and/or Olave, or go with healthy backups?

by wannascribble on Oct 31, 2011 6:59 PM PDT reply actions  

That's a good question for Kreis

Do you play Olave and Borchers and risk having to use two of your subs on your backline?

by PeterJH on Oct 31, 2011 8:56 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

I'd be more hopeful

But RSL has been terrific at channeling Seattle’s offense to the outside of the pitch, where they’re left sending in speculative crosses to the middle. I especially noticed this in Seattle’s loss to RSL at home recently.

Having Rosales out or hobbled makes this even more difficult. Sigi has his work cut out for him, that’s for sure.

by Samuelson on Nov 1, 2011 7:55 AM PDT reply actions  

It seems like the Sounders need to do a better job..

….of providing the outside mids with short passing options when they get stuck with the ball on the outside. Too often, it seems, if the opposition can close down one of our non-Rosales outside mids, they don’t try passing back to switch the point of attack.

by ubelmann on Nov 1, 2011 10:05 AM PDT up reply actions  

One more thing...

If Rosales, Borchers and Olave were healthy for Wednesday’s match, would it do Kreis or Sigi any good to be at all public about it?

by Samuelson on Nov 1, 2011 7:56 AM PDT reply actions  

no, probably not

But that doesn’t mean they are.

Editor/writer at Sounder at Heart, MLS editor SB Nation. Follow me on Twitter. You'll Never Yacht Alone.

by Jeremiah Oshan on Nov 1, 2011 11:07 AM PDT up reply actions  

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