Well, Seattle got a few results in its favor over the weekend. Rough math by me says that the chances should go up nearly 2% to a whole 54% when Sports Club Stats updates later this weekend.
The Pacing Race though is more intriguing.
East
C-Bus (53) v DC (44)
Chicago (45) v NE (44)
West
Houston (49) v Colorado (44)
Chivas (47) v Galaxy (46)
Outside looking in: Seattle (42), Salt Lake (41), Toronto (39)
Competing for the #2 Pick: San Jose (26), Dallas (31), KC (32)
Looking at #1 Pick: NYRB (18)
Basically if Seattle only gets four points on the road (4 matches) and four points at home (2 matches) they won't make it. Four at home seems like a best case, so the focus must be on picking up those road points, particularly against DC and New England. Seattle and the playoffs means at least six road points are necessary.
The league also saw some goal scoring and assist leader movement, particularly with the KC @ NE 6 goal performance. Here's all players with 7 or more goals, or 7 or more assists;
Player Team Goals Asst Points Minutes PP90
Moreno DC 7 3 17 860 1.78
CunninghamDallas 10 5 25 1291 1.74
Casey Colorado 12 1 25 1494 1.51
SchelettoColumbus 10 3 23 1405 1.47
Ralston NE 7 7 21 1342 1.41
Findley Salt Lake 10 2 22 1428 1.39
Montero Seattle 10 6 26 1707 1.37
Donovan LA 10 5 25 1665 1.35
CummingsColorado 8 11 27 1844 1.32
LillingstonChivas 7 1 15 1056 1.28
Dube NE 7 0 14 1093 1.15
Joseph NE 6 8 20 1598 1.13
Ching Houston 7 2 16 1293 1.11
Blanco Chicago 5 6 16 1341 1.07
Emilio DC 8 2 18 1623 1.00
DeRosarioToronto 9 3 21 1910 0.99
Jaqua Seattle 7 7 21 1922 0.98
Johnson San Jose 7 2 16 1521 0.95
Angel New York 9 1 19 1865 0.92
Wolff KC 8 0 16 1681 0.86
Davis Houston 4 8 16 1875 0.77
Mathis Salt Lake 2 7 11 1742 0.57
Ljungberg would barely edge Mathis if he qualified. I once said that Casey wasn't in the MVP race due to the Rapids performance. Since then his club has continued their hot streak while Seattle has struggled. Cummings though has solid numbers as well.
The MVP race is wide open.