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Path to 49, a Sounders playoff scenario

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If the Sounders are going to make the playoffs, it’s going to take a massive run. Here’s a path to the promised land that isn’t far fetched at all.

Sounders vs. Galaxy: Photos
If the Sounders are to make it back to the Playoffs, Nicolas Lodeiro will be a big reason why.
Photo credit - MikeRussellFoto

The Seattle Sounders probably need at least 47 points to make the playoffs. They can get in with fewer (the Portland Timbers are on pace for about 45 in the last playoff spot, Sounders could tie them and bump them out on tiebreakers if necessary), but 47 would be a very comfortable margin to make it in. An even better margin? 49 points has the potential of even making it up to the 4 seed, which would mean at least one playoff home game for the Sounders (if the Sounders were to take 6 points from Real Salt Lake, RSL’s points per game, ignoring other results, would put them on track for 48 points).

Here’s how the West could be won see the Sounders in the playoffs yet again.

Date
Match
Result
Points
8/14
vs RSL
W
27
8/21
vs PDX
W
30
8/24
@ HOU
T
31
8/28
@ PDX
L
31
9/10
@ SJE
W
34
9/17
vs VAN
W
37
9/25
@ LAG
L
37
9/28
vs CHI
W
40
10/2
@ VAN
W
43
10/12
vs HOU
W
46
10/26
@ FCD
L
46
10/23
vs RSL
W
49

As you can see, this scenario has the Sounders with a perfect home record and a middling road record (2-3-1 on the road, 1.16 PPG). It’s really that perfect home record that’s key to this scenario and a path to the playoffs. But really, if you look at each of those home games, they’re all winnable. In the eight games since we played RSL in the Open Cup, they’re 2-2-4 (1.25 PPG) and they’re 4-7-2 (1.08 PPG) on the road. The Whitecaps currently have the worst GD in the West. Another two of our home games are against two of the worst teams in the league (yes, actually worse than us). And if you don’t think we can win at home against the Timbers, what kind of Sounders fan are you?

Small sample size, but the Sounders are unbeaten with Lodeiro. And Torres is about to return (which should put Scott far down the bench). Mears just put on a vintage performance, Roldan has emerged as possibly the best partner Alonso has had in years, and Brad’s positional flexibility means we shouldn’t have any empty holes anywhere on the field. Plus we haven’t even seen Flaco in extended action yet.

Is this likely? Maybe not. But, as always, hay fe.